BEST PICTURE: I went a dismal one for five here, in keeping with my total inability to figure out what the Academy voters like. Slumdog Millionaire was wildly overrated, but I’m not shocked it got a nomination; that shock belongs to The Reader, which was both lousy and unpopular. Synechdoche, New York didn’t even get the writing nomination I thought it would. I suck.
BEST DIRECTOR: Tied for my worst category — I went one for five. I’m genuinely shocked that Demme didn’t get a nomination for Rachel Getting Married, and surprised but pleased that they didn’t throw Clint Eastwood a bone for the two overrated flicks he made in 2009. My colleage scottvond was right (and I was wrong) that Van Sant and Fincher making un-Van Santian and Fincheresque movies would pay off, but Stephen Daldry getting the nod for The Reader is a joke.
BEST ACTRESS: Two-and-a-half: I called Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road, because her role in The Reader seemed more support than lead, but at least she got a nomination. This category was the biggest disappointment: Jolie was frankly not that good in Changeling, and Cate Blanchett got screwed behind a great performance in a bad movie.
BEST ACTOR: Four for five here, and somewhat satisfyingly, the one I got wrong — Leonardo DiCaprio in Revolutionary Road -- was the one I thought least deserved it. I’m still disappointed, though not surprised, that Benecio del Toro didn’t get a nomination for Che.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: I went 3 for 5, missing Taraji P. Henson (really?) in "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and the deserving Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler. I correctly guessed the wonderful Debra Winger would get screwed out of a nomination for Rachel Getting Married, but I’m slightly surprised that Kate Winslet didn’t get the nod for The Reader.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Technically, I got half of them right again— I called two correctly, and predicted that Robert Downey Jr. would get the nod, but I thought they’d give it to him for The Soloist instead of nominating a goofball comedy like Tropic Thunder. How Philip Seymour Hoffman’s lead performance in Doubt is considered a supporting role is beyond me.
Overall, I scored a below-the-level-of-chance 46%, so there’s something to keep in mind when wagering.