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Okay, I lied

The 2009 Oscar nominations are out. How did I do with my predictions? Let's take a look.

BEST PICTURE: I went a dismal one for five here, in keeping with my total inability to figure out what the Academy voters like. Slumdog Millionaire was wildly overrated, but I’m not shocked it got a nomination; that shock belongs to The Reader, which was both lousy and unpopular. Synechdoche, New York didn’t even get the writing nomination I thought it would. I suck.

BEST DIRECTOR: Tied for my worst category — I went one for five. I’m genuinely shocked that Demme didn’t get a nomination for Rachel Getting Married, and surprised but pleased that they didn’t throw Clint Eastwood a bone for the two overrated flicks he made in 2009. My colleage scottvond was right (and I was wrong) that Van Sant and Fincher making un-Van Santian and Fincheresque movies would pay off, but Stephen Daldry getting the nod for The Reader is a joke.

BEST ACTRESS: Two-and-a-half: I called Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road, because her role in The Reader seemed more support than lead, but at least she got a nomination. This category was the biggest disappointment: Jolie was frankly not that good in Changeling, and Cate Blanchett got screwed behind a great performance in a bad movie.

BEST ACTOR: Four for five here, and somewhat satisfyingly, the one I got wrong — Leonardo DiCaprio in Revolutionary Road -- was the one I thought least deserved it. I’m still disappointed, though not surprised, that Benecio del Toro didn’t get a nomination for Che.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: I went 3 for 5, missing Taraji P. Henson (really?) in "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and the deserving Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler. I correctly guessed the wonderful Debra Winger would get screwed out of a nomination for Rachel Getting Married, but I’m slightly surprised that Kate Winslet didn’t get the nod for The Reader.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Technically, I got half of them right again— I called two correctly, and predicted that Robert Downey Jr. would get the nod, but I thought they’d give it to him for The Soloist instead of nominating a goofball comedy like Tropic Thunder. How Philip Seymour Hoffman’s lead performance in Doubt is considered a supporting role is beyond me.

Overall, I scored a below-the-level-of-chance 46%, so there’s something to keep in mind when wagering.

Comments

editrix26
Jan. 22nd, 2009 04:49 pm (UTC)
The nominations are dumb this year. Say what you will about The Dark Knight, what Nolan pulled together was far more impressive that Benjamin Button (and I'm a Fincher fan).

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Leonard Pierce is a freelance writer wandering around Texas with no sleep or sense of direction. If you give him money he will write something for you. If you are nice to him he may come to your house and get drunk.

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